Sweden needs a little luck to get past North Korea

Soccer Betting Lines

09/17/2007 - Tiajin, China (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Sweden's hoping to change its luck against North Korea on Tuesday.

The third-ranked Swedes settled for a 1-1 tie in their World Cup opener on a late equalizer by Nigeria, then lost to the United States 2-0.

To avoid failing to make the quarterfinals for the first time in its history, Sweden has to beat North Korea by at least three goals.

"Luck's not been on our side and we've only got one point in the bag. But we'll do everything in our power to get back on track and try and win our third group match," Sweden coach Thomas Dennerby told FIFA's website.

A change in luck may help the Swedes, who have struggled finishing scoring chances despite numerous opportunities in both games, but it's going to take more than that against North Korea.

North Korea, ranked fifth, tied the United States in its opener 2-2 and then posted a 2-0 win over Nigeria. North Korea is tied with the United States for first place in Group B, and needs a tie or win to secure a spot in the next round.

"Our next game against Sweden will be very tough, but we're ready to take them on," North Korea coach Kim Kwang Min told FIFA's website. "We haven't sealed qualification yet so we're obliged to play to win, there's no other way."

Sweden has no other option, either. But if it's going to advance, Victoria Svensson, Hanna Ljungberg and Lotta Schelin have to start scoring.

The trio are three of the best scorers in the tournament, with Svensson and Ljungberg more experienced on the international level.

Ljungberg has 71 career goals and Svensson - who scored the team's lone goal in a tie with Nigeria - has 59.

With the way Sweden's struggled offensively in its first two games, the large winning margin seems unlikely. But the Swedes displayed just how dangerous the offense can be in European qualifying, scoring 32 goals in eight games - an average of four per contest.

Ljungberg had 10 goals in qualifying, Schelin had six and Svensson and Therese Lundin, a midfielder, each had four.

As bad as Sweden's played in its first two games, it would still be a threat to win the tournament if it can advance.

"If we can do that," Dennerby said, "then anything is possible."

North Korea won't make it easy on the 2003 runners-up, though. The Asian team looked better than the Americans for long stretches, and had no real trouble with Nigeria.

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Super Bowl 2009 Betting

Super Bowl 2009 Betting propositions

Underdog bettors love the Super Bowl and, history suggests, the underdogs love them back. And the big dogs bite harder.

Even so, there is a warning in store for Super Bowl gamblers who must love dogs: The Arizona Cardinals Super Bowl betting lines might not be enough of a Cinderella to make it worth your while.

Although the Cardinals were widely panned as one of the worst division winners and least playoff-worthy teams in recent memory, their trip to Super Bowl XLIII Jan. 31 in Tampa against the Pittsburgh Steelers Super Bowl betting lines comes with a little more respect from the oddsmakers than you might imagine. They are a 7-point underdog at most sports books.

If you count yourself among those who covet the big dog in the big game, this isn’t exactly great news. You should have been hoping for more points. This is because the facts show that the bigger the dog, the better the bet in the Super Bowl.

Case in point: Over the past 13 seasons, double-figure underdogs in the Super Bowl are 4-0-1 ATS and have won the past three outright. In fact, the last double-digit chalk to do the deed for bettors was the 1995 San Francisco 49ers, who managed to beat the astounding 19-point spot afforded backers of the San Diego Chargers in the 49-26 romp in Super Bowl XXIX.

By contrast, 7-point favorites are 2-1-1 ATS in the same span, the last such contest resulting a cover grinded out by the Colts in their 29-17 win over the Bears two seasons ago in Super Bowl XLI.

In 2004, the Patriots failed to cover the number in their 32-29 triumph over the Carolina Panthers in Super Bowl props while the Rams and Titans gave everyone a refund in 2000 after the Rams posted a 23-16 win as a seven-point favorite.

So while Arizona’s run has included impressive upsets as a 10-point road underdog to the Carolina Panthers and Sunday’s 32-25 win in the NFC championship game to the 4-point favored Philadelphia Eagles, their long-shot story lacks a bit of the David vs. Goliath storyline of past Super Bowl underdogs.

While the seven-point spread represents a significant gap in the perception of strength between the two teams, it is far from monumental. For example, last season the Giants were the wild-card afterthought turned road-warrior buzzsaw, with stunning wins over the Buccaneers, Cowboys and Packers to earn their place in the Super Bowl.

There, they played spoiler to New England’s bid to become the first 19-0 team in NFL history and cemented their place in sports betting lore with a 17-14 win as a 12.5-point underdog.

In other words, the Cardinals appear to have their work cut out for them as a mid-range underdog. But in homage to the spread beaters who have come before them, here is a brief look back at recent colossal upsets in the Super Bowl:

SB XLII -- 2008 -- New York Giants 17, New England Patriots 14 (Giants +12.5) – Eli Manning’s 13-yard touchdown pass to Plaxico Burress in the final minute clinched the historic upset for the Giants, who used a masterful defensive plan to slow down Tom Brady and the previously undefeated New England Patriots.

XXXVI -- 2002 -- Patriots 20, Rams 17 (Patriots +14) – This was the coming out party for the aforementioned Brady, who went from obscure sixth-round draft pick to Super Bowl hero in one fell swoop. He led the game-winning drive in the final minute – eschewing analyst John Madden’s advice to take a knee and play for overtime – leading to Adam Vinatieri’s memorable 48-yard field goal that split the uprights as time expired.

XXXII 1998 Broncos 31, Packers 24 (Denver +12) – The first of John Elway’s two consecutive Super Bowl titles to put an end to his Hall of Fame career was an upset for the ages. The Broncos used the determination of Elway and a 157-yard, three-touchdown performance from Terrell Davis to turn back Brett Favre and the heavily favored Packers.

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